SV Ried vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2004 |
WOR
0 - 2
RIE
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
RIE
1 - 1
LAS
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
LBN
2 - 0
RIE
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
RIE
3 - 1
SCA
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
GRA
3 - 2
RIE
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 3
SCA
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
SCA
2 - 0
WOR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
SCA
2 - 0
UNT
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
RIE
3 - 1
SCA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SCA
0 - 0
LUS
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |