SV Ried vs Liefering analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
3º
1º
5
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 54 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 50 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 48 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
81% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FAC
0 - 1
RIE
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RIE
4 - 0
SVH
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 1
RIE
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 11
RIE
6%
14%
80%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 1
DVS
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
SWB
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SVL
4 - 5
FCL
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
VIE
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 3
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
SVS
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |