UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
SV Ried vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
WIT
1 - 0
RIE
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
AWM
0 - 0
RIE
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
RIE
1 - 0
LAS
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
RBS
4 - 3
RIE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
RIE
1 - 3
STR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
WIT
1 - 0
RIE
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
WIT
0 - 0
DTB
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
FCM
1 - 3
WIT
34%
30%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
WIT
0 - 0
LOK
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
FTK
1 - 1
WIT
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |