Richmond vs Bulleen Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
POR
7 - 0
RIC
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
2 - 3
NOR
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HEU
4 - 1
RIC
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 3
RIC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 2
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bulleen Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
BUL
0 - 0
AVH
36%
23%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
BUL
1 - 1
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
BUL
3 - 0
DOV
79%
13%
7%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 1
BUL
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
BUL
2 - 4
HEU
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |