Richmond vs Avondale Heights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
BUL
0 - 1
RIC
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
RIC
0 - 0
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 3
RIC
54%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
RIC
0 - 1
HEU
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
RIC
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AVH
5 - 0
MEL
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AVH
3 - 2
BUL
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 3
AVH
84%
11%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 0
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |