Richmond Kickers vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
RIC
4 - 1
ANT
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RIC
3 - 3
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 2
RIC
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
RIC
4 - 1
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RIC
4 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 0
PIT
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 0
WIL
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VSI
3 - 2
ORA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ORL
3 - 2
ORA
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 3
ORA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |