Richards Bay vs Royal AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
13º
13º
35
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MPU
2 - 0
RIB
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 3
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
RIB
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
RIB
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
GOL
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Royal AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
RKF
0 - 1
SWA
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 1
RKF
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RKF
1 - 2
MPU
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TSG
1 - 1
RKF
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RKF
1 - 2
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |