Richards Bay vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
16º
15º
38
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SSU
2 - 0
RIB
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 0
RKF
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MPU
2 - 0
RIB
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
RIB
2 - 3
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
RIB
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 1
SWA
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
GOL
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 0
AMA
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MPU
0 - 0
GOL
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
5 - 2
GOL
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |