Riccione vs FC Fossombrone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
17º
14º
41
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOR
1 - 2
RIC
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RIC
3 - 1
FAN
34%
28%
39%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RCF
2 - 2
RIC
58%
23%
20%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
RIC
0 - 0
SSD
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 1
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BFM
3 - 0
RMS
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 0
BFM
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BFM
0 - 0
AVE
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
BFM
1 - 3
SSD
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SOR
0 - 0
BFM
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |