Riccione vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riccione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RIC
1 - 2
ACP
28%
22%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RIC
3 - 1
COR
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
RIC
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RIC
1 - 2
CRE
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 2
RIC
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 1
BAG
64%
21%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAG
1 - 0
RAV
15%
20%
66%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
BAG
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAG
1 - 1
SCA
36%
26%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
USR
2 - 1
BAG
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |