Capital vs Batalhao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
UAC
1 - 0
CAP
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 0
CAP
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 2
URO
20%
24%
56%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ANA
3 - 1
CAP
60%
24%
16%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 3
IPO
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Batalhao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
2 - 1
BLH
70%
18%
13%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BLH
0 - 2
ARA
14%
18%
67%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GUR
3 - 2
BLH
74%
16%
10%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BLH
2 - 3
TMI
11%
14%
75%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UAC
1 - 0
BLH
74%
16%
10%
|
6 | 25 | 19 | 0 |