Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 1
RIB
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 0
FOR
23%
23%
53%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIB
2 - 1
LEN
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COR
3 - 2
RIB
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 0
MEZ
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
CLO
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 2
MEZ
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIR
80%
15%
5%
|
35 | 77 | 42 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AVI
3 - 1
VIR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
VIN
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |