Ribeirão vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
RIB
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
2 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 2
RIB
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FAM
1 - 1
RIB
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 0
MIR
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
LOU
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 4
VAR
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |