Ribeirão vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIB
67%
21%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 2
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
RIB
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RIB
0 - 2
OSL
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIB
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
6 - 0
MER
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MER
1 - 2
LOU
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |