Ribeirão vs Joane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GON
0 - 0
RIB
39%
29%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
2 - 0
BOA
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
RIB
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
RIB
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 0
OSL
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 0
JOA
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
JOA
2 - 1
PAD
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VIZ
3 - 2
JOA
73%
18%
10%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |