Ribeirão vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LIX
1 - 0
RIB
31%
24%
46%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
RIB
83%
12%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FAT
4 - 2
BEL
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
BEL
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 1
AVE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |