Ribeira Brava vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
RIB
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RIB
1 - 0
CAM
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OSL
3 - 0
RIB
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
CHA
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
RIB
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIB
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 1
VAR
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
VAR
19%
25%
55%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |