Ribeira Brava vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 0
RIB
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 2
MAF
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
1DE
2 - 0
RIB
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 3
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
3 - 0
QUA
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
41%
25%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |