Ribeira Brava vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
1DE
2 - 0
RIB
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 3
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
3 - 0
QUA
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
RIB
82%
14%
4%
|
34 | 66 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
OEI
2 - 2
RIB
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 2
MAF
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |