Ribeira Brava vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAF
3 - 0
RIB
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
1DE
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIB
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
RIB
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 0
CAS
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 3
FAT
23%
25%
53%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FAT
4 - 1
POM
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |