Rezzato vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rezzato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
REZ
2 - 1
SER
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
REZ
19%
20%
62%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
REZ
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REZ
2 - 1
CIS
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
REZ
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
VIL
83%
13%
4%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEG
37%
24%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
OLG
0 - 3
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |