Rezekne vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
24%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
9º
14º
14º
22
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 0
RFA
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
9 - 0
RFA
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
RFA
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 1
RIG
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
RFA
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 4
FKB
63%
17%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DRS
1 - 1
SMI
58%
19%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 3
TUK
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 1
SMI
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 1
KFV
92%
5%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |