Rezekne vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+546%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
14º
14º
19
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation
|
75% | 31.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
RFA
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 1
MAR
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 5
PRA
29%
20%
52%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FSL
4 - 1
RFA
15%
16%
69%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -3 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
5 - 0
CES
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
OUD
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
SMI
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 3
OUD
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 7
MAR
16%
17%
67%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OUD
4 - 0
VAL
11%
18%
71%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | +1 |