Rezekne vs JDFS Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
14º
14º
46
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
75% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRA
5 - 0
RFA
72%
15%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 3
SUP
8%
16%
76%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 0
SKA
23%
23%
53%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | +3 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
SKA
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
RIG
32%
26%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
OUD
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |