Rezekne vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
43.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
14º
14º
33
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 5
PRA
29%
20%
52%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FSL
4 - 1
RFA
15%
16%
69%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
RFA
5 - 0
CES
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 4
SMI
59%
19%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
RFA
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SMI
37%
21%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 1
MAR
54%
18%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 7
MAR
16%
17%
67%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PRA
25%
20%
56%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |