Revilla vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BAR
4 - 0
REV
66%
20%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
REV
0 - 1
TRO
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CUL
5 - 0
REV
67%
20%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
REV
1 - 0
MAR
26%
27%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TEX
3 - 0
REV
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAY
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
ESC
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
RAC
31%
25%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 4
ESC
33%
26%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
RAY
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |