Revilla vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
8º
7º
1
2º
15º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
14º
|
1 | 70 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
|
13º
|
1 | 59 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 59 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 46 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 42 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 40 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 38 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 34 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31.5% | 53% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
REV
27%
23%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
REV
0 - 0
SDT
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 2
REV
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
REV
1 - 3
BEZ
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 1
REV
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 2
COL
64%
19%
16%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
TRO
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 1
CAY
28%
25%
47%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 2
GIM
19%
23%
59%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SDT
1 - 0
TRO
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |