Revilla vs Selaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
5 - 0
REV
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
REV
2 - 1
RAC
25%
27%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
REV
10%
18%
72%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
REV
1 - 0
RAY
22%
23%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 0
REV
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Selaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 2
LAR
14%
22%
64%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BUE
1 - 3
SEL
38%
26%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 2
ARE
58%
23%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
SEL
29%
27%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 0
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |