Revilla vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
16º
10º
57
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
REV
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
REV
1 - 1
ALB
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
REV
2 - 2
SOL
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 0
REV
54%
23%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
REV
1 - 1
SIE
40%
25%
36%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAY
0 - 1
SOL
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAY
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAY
4 - 0
SIE
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 4
CAY
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 0
SDT
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |