Revilla vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 1
REV
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
REV
0 - 2
BEZ
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REV
1 - 4
TEX
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 1
REV
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
REV
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAY
2 - 0
TEX
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RAC
3 - 0
CAY
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 1
CAY
22%
24%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAY
3 - 1
RIB
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 1
CAY
20%
24%
57%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |