Revilla vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SDT
2 - 1
REV
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
REV
0 - 2
CUL
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
REV
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
REV
1 - 0
RIB
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SIE
3 - 2
REV
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BEZ
46%
26%
29%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAS
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
RIB
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRO
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CUL
2 - 1
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |