Revilla vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
REV
1 - 0
TEX
36%
27%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
REV
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
CAS
25%
26%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 0
REV
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
REV
2 - 1
ALB
40%
27%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
BEZ
1 - 6
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
CAS
25%
26%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAM
66%
22%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |