Reutlingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
REU
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
REU
4 - 1
KSC
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
STU
0 - 1
REU
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
REU
1 - 1
KEH
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
REU
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
SPI
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 4
FRE
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 1
VFR
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BIS
2 - 3
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 0
BAH
35%
26%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |