Reutlingen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
CRA
0 - 1
REU
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
REU
0 - 2
WAL
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
REU
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 0
REU
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
REU
4 - 1
BON
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 2
NOT
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ULM
0 - 2
FRE
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LUD
1 - 1
FRE
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 1
WEI
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |