Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 8-0
Reus Deportiu vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reus Deportiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
REU
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
REU
1 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
REU
0 - 0
CDM
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
REU
21%
26%
53%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
REU
1 - 0
BAD
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 1
CDT
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CDT
4 - 0
NAX
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAX
2 - 0
ALD
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 8 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AGO
1 - 2
NAX
11%
22%
68%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 1
NAX
34%
26%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |