Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-2
Retro FC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 5
RFC
6%
16%
78%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
SOU
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 2
RFC
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 0
ARN
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAG
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ASA
2 - 0
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SDJ
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 4
SAN
48%
28%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |