Retro FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
RFC
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RFC
1 - 1
ADJ
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 1
RFC
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
RFC
1 - 0
AFO
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RFC
1 - 3
MAG
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
2 - 0
MAG
78%
14%
7%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 0
CEA
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAU
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
3 - 2
ADJ
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |