Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Retro FC vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
2 - 0
RFC
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
2 - 0
MEC
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 0
ARN
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
RFC
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RFC
2 - 1
CSE
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
BRA
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
BRA
41%
29%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
REA
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
BRA
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 2
BRA
37%
30%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |