Retro FC vs Afogados analysis

Retro FC Afogados
65 ELO 41
-8% Tilt -11%
1815º General ELO ranking 4890º
64º Country ELO ranking 219º
ELO win probability
76.5%
Retro FC
15.6%
Draw
7.8%
Afogados

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
Retro FC
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
Afogados
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Retro FC
-1%
-3%
Afogados

ELO progression

Retro FC
Afogados
Maguary PE
Petrolina
Náutico
Decisão
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Retro FC
Retro FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2025
RFC
Retro FC
1 - 3
Maguary PE
MAG
77%
15%
8%
65 35 30 0
04 Jan. 2025
RFC
Retro FC
1 - 1
Moto Club MA
MOT
79%
16%
6%
65 44 21 0
29 Dec. 2024
RFC
Retro FC
3 - 3
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
77%
17%
7%
65 45 20 0
23 Dec. 2024
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 0
Retro FC
RFC
64%
21%
16%
65 76 11 0
29 Sep. 2024
RFC
Retro FC
3 - 1
Anápolis
ANA
42%
28%
31%
64 64 0 +1

Matches

Afogados
Afogados
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
AFO
Afogados
1 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
6%
19%
75%
40 88 48 0
23 Dec. 2024
CAM
Campinense
0 - 0
Afogados
AFO
55%
24%
22%
40 51 11 0
02 Mar. 2024
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Afogados
AFO
82%
13%
5%
41 66 25 -1
24 Feb. 2024
AFO
Afogados
3 - 2
Maguary PE
MAG
50%
24%
26%
40 36 4 +1
20 Feb. 2024
SAN
Santa Cruz
5 - 1
Afogados
AFO
67%
19%
14%
41 53 12 -1