Resistencia vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
12º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
LQE
2 - 2
RES
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
2DE
2 - 0
RES
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
RES
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
OLI
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
LIB
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 0
JLM
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 3
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |