Resistencia vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
12º
32
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
5 - 0
RES
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
RES
1 - 3
TAC
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 1
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
LQE
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
RES
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SPT
2 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
JLM
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |