Resistencia vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
12º
12º
40
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
2DE
2 - 0
RES
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
RES
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
OLI
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
JLM
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
RES
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
JLM
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 3
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 2
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
CCP
31%
29%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |