Resende vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
72.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
RES
4 - 2
TIG
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
RES
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RES
1 - 2
MAD
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
RES
3 - 3
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
VAS
4 - 0
MAC
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 6
VAS
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 2
VAS
14%
20%
65%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 0
TIG
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |