Resende vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 4
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RES
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
66%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
RES
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
MAD
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
OLA
51%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
BAN
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 0
AUD
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |