Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Resende vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RES
2 - 2
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 0
RES
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
RES
4 - 1
ARA
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 3
RES
22%
24%
53%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MIX
1 - 0
AGU
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GOI
0 - 1
MIX
47%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MIX
0 - 1
BRA
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIX
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |