Resende vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BON
1 - 1
RES
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RES
2 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RES
0 - 1
MAC
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
GOY
2 - 1
RES
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
RES
2 - 4
BON
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
GOY
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
GOY
2 - 2
BON
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BON
1 - 3
GOY
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
GOY
2 - 1
RES
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AME
1 - 2
GOY
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |