Resende vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FLU
2 - 1
RES
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
4 - 1
RES
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
RES
0 - 4
FLA
7%
15%
79%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
VOL
4 - 0
RES
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAD
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 1
DUQ
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DUQ
2 - 1
TIG
75%
16%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 0
AME
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |