Resende vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
12%
18%
70%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
RES
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
RES
3 - 1
CAB
39%
25%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 1
RES
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
RES
1 - 0
CAM
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
DUQ
3 - 2
FLU
9%
17%
75%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
VAS
3 - 1
DUQ
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
AME
3 - 0
DUQ
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
DUQ
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |