Resende vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
RES
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
RES
1 - 1
VOL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BON
0 - 2
RES
31%
28%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
RES
5 - 2
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
RES
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
AMF
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 2
BOT
20%
27%
54%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |