Resende vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
MAD
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
RES
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
FRI
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 0
RES
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
BAN
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BON
1 - 3
RES
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BON
2 - 0
DUQ
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 0
BON
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
RES
2 - 0
BON
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BON
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |